The surge in the stock markets ( S&P new record) this year amidst weak economic fundamentals of high inflation and cost of debt, begs the question..Is it time?
What is the strategy?
The adage “Sell in May and go away” is a well-known investment strategy that suggests investors should sell their stocks in May and reinvest in November to avoid the historically weaker summer months in the stock market. This strategy is based on the belief that the market tends to underperform during the summer months.
History
The origins of this saying date back to the 18th century in England when investors, predominantly wealthy aristocrats, would leave the city for the countryside during the summer months, leading to lower trading volumes and potentially weaker market performance.
The Evidence
One example supporting this strategy is a study by the “Stock Trader’s Almanac,” which found that historically, the period between May to October has shown lower average returns compared to the period between November to April.
S&P 500 no exception
Another example is the performance of the S&P 500 index over the years, which has shown mixed results for the “Sell in May and go away” strategy, with some years seeing significant market downturns during the summer months.
Consider it collectively
While the “Sell in May and go away” strategy is not a foolproof method for investing, it is essential to consider historical trends and market conditions when making investment decisions. Investors should conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before implementing any seasonal investing strategies.