“Sell in May and go away” is an investment adage that suggests that investors should sell their stocks in May and reinvest them in November, as the period between May and November is typically associated with lower returns in the stock market.
Historical data have generally supported the “Sell in May and Go Away” adage over the years and since 1945. The S&P 500 Index has recorded a cumulative six-month average gain of 6.7% in the period between November to April compared to an average gain of around 2% between May and October.21 Mar 2023
Here are three reasons why you might consider following this advice:
- Historical trends: The adage is based on historical trends in the stock market, which show that the period between May and November tends to be associated with lower returns compared to other times of the year. According to some studies, stocks have historically underperformed during this period compared to the rest of the year.
- Market volatility: The period between May and November is often associated with greater market volatility, which can make it more difficult for investors to navigate the market. By selling your stocks in May and waiting until November to reinvest, you can potentially avoid some of this volatility and minimize your risk.
- Seasonal factors: There are several seasonal factors that can impact the stock market during the summer months, including lower trading volumes, vacations, and decreased investor participation. These factors can lead to a slower market, which can contribute to lower returns.
However, it’s worth noting that this adage is not a hard and fast rule, and there is no guarantee that you will see better returns by selling in May and going away. It’s important to consider your individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon before making any decisions about buying or selling stocks. It’s always a good idea to consult with a financial advisor or do your own research before making any investment decisions.