The 3 biggest market falls in 2015

What a year it has been! It will certainly be remembered for its uncertainty. It was a year where asset and currency swings were huge exposing the anxiety and risk of the markets.
Paging through various investment data for the year the stats reveal the following three biggest price falls on our markets for the year.

The rand against the dollar – 31,8%
Touching as high as R16 to the dollar this has had a devastating effect on our economy as imports are just so much more expensive. This will in turn translate into price increases on various goods and services increasing the strain on household budgets.

The biggest drop in commodity prices is Oil32,4%
Who would have thought that the dollar price of oil would fall to levels in the mid $ 30s? Especially when not too long ago a barrel of oil tipped $140. It’s a pity that our currency has weakened as much. The cost per litre of petrol hovers around the current levels of R12. We are extremely lucky that the oil price has fallen by as much. If it stayed at previous levels we would be riding bicycles, that’s for sure.

The Resource Sector dropped the most on the JSE – 45%.
World demand for resources has fallen dramatically as a result of slow growth. We depend so much on exporting our resources but with demand being at an all-time low the sector has nearly halved in value. The weak rand has cushioned the fall in resources to a large extent as they are generally priced in Dollars.

The burning question for 2016 is, “Can these prices fall even further?” My view is that they possibly could get worse before things turn. Remember that assets move in cycles. Also, watch the rand. It has surprised us many times over the years. Just when you think you know where it’s heading it makes a move in another direction.

So uncertainty still prevails……

Prevention is better than cure

At the risk of sounding prophetic and sounding like the Grinch, next year is likely to be tougher than 2023.

This is the last week before Christmas and perhaps there is still a chance to take control of that urge to splurge.

Here are some things to consider:

Put on the brakes
If you haven’t already maxed out the credit card and still have some cash to spare then take stock and think wisely about next year. Who knows what 2024 has in store for us? So, the last thing you need is to chase down expensive debt in the new year. If you are in a hole, stop digging!

Don’t turn a blind eye
The way forward in your financial planning is to live under your means, not above them. If your debt is increasing, things are worsening, especially in the face of rising interest rates. It simply means you are getting poorer. So don’t take a holiday to avoid things. Face them now as things don’t get better by themselves.

Shop wisely
Perhaps a way forward is to consider online shopping where you can. It has the benefit of saving on parking and petrol and queuing for that matter. You also get to choose more wisely as you surf the product catalogues. You can compare prices more logically and avoid getting trapped in the mall experience where everything entices you to spend.
Prevention is better than cure and next year will have a tough start. So change your sails whilst you can… there’s a storm brewing.

A year end check list on your personal finances

It is the final week before many of us set off to have a great holiday and enjoy a well-deserved break. What a year it’s been!

Just before you take off here is a personal finance checklist:

Medical plan for next year
You still have time to consider an appropriate plan for next year.
Ensure that your option has been received and applied ready to cover you from the
1st January 2016.

Short-term insurance valuations adjusted
Contact your insurance broker and ensure that your possessions are accurately covered.
You want peace of mind that should something happen over the festive season, your policy will comfortably replace any loss. You don’t want to get caught in a wrangle with your insurer because your goods are underinsured.

Check and service your alarm system
A probable condition with your insurer is that your alarm system is in working order. So, whilst you are updating your valuations you will do well to service your alarm system ensuring it is working while you are away.

Cover your January expenses
It’s a long way for most to January’s payday as many get paid early in December.
Make sure there are sufficient funds in your account to cover your debit orders which will come off on the 1st of January. If you don’t have enough funds you could have a claim repudiated on your short-term insurance, life assurance and medical aid policies if you miss a premium.

Clean out your Loyalty Rewards
You may have rewards on various loyalty programs which could be bundled together to give you some value over the festive season. You could use these rewards towards paying for your trip or for a few gifts for family and friends. You probably are paying to be on the loyalty program, so use this time of the year to get something back.

Update your will
Before you take off on holiday, ensure that your will is updated and that someone close to you knows where to find it. It is such an important document which many of us ignore. Don’t be complacent and leave it for another day. This time of the year is risky for all South Africans.

A sound financial plan provides peace of mind that your affairs are in order. You will have a much better time over the festive season if you have prepared yourself that much more for the New Year. Happy holidays…..